Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 14.677784 16.749337 18.969393 21.520965 24.367780 27.441453 31.006249
2024-10-13 11.679991 14.464484 17.660050 21.580811 26.242631 31.588374 38.161153
2024-10-20 9.096973 12.172570 15.935911 20.839354 27.014603 34.484920 44.151342
2024-10-27 7.106939 10.248634 14.335928 19.971229 27.455853 36.962323 49.841306
2024-11-03 6.183002 9.537450 14.146595 20.824647 30.111644 42.407961 59.723500
2024-11-10 5.738879 9.404125 14.691135 22.692282 34.271569 50.158407 73.275660
2024-11-17 5.140625 8.939829 14.685981 23.754360 37.385284 56.724260 85.738853
2024-11-24 4.402786 8.132995 14.050269 23.786139 38.975888 61.240452 95.644339
2024-12-01 3.669571 7.205807 13.090313 23.180783 39.509460 64.212842 103.484763
2024-12-08 3.160256 6.572841 12.510595 23.087531 40.782883 68.329869 113.250933
2024-12-15 2.803046 6.151502 12.223425 23.423431 42.735996 73.583645 125.043984
2024-12-22 2.426596 5.626894 11.679245 23.242319 43.790976 77.458852 134.893438
2024-12-29 2.270346 5.528416 11.922369 24.518182 47.493064 85.967291 152.864682
2025-01-05 2.002112 5.148847 11.582757 24.690617 49.286941 91.459665 166.305029
2025-01-12 1.677786 4.583272 10.796860 23.925828 49.323661 93.979857 174.971442
2025-01-19 1.390531 4.042129 9.978511 22.991463 48.942551 95.723319 182.401139
2025-01-26 1.298375 3.956160 10.114584 23.988469 52.284425 104.232329 201.994847
2025-02-02 1.295679 4.098014 10.769559 26.124012 57.990155 117.323873 230.332244
2025-02-09 1.225860 4.049156 10.984207 27.341387 61.970412 127.490151 253.984124
2025-02-16 1.090249 3.791722 10.676795 27.388535 63.594861 133.378853 270.223062
2025-02-23 0.932623 3.434872 10.076711 26.711018 63.663266 136.319698 281.199295
2025-03-02 0.824851 3.201686 9.747689 26.610478 64.917084 141.581634 296.728717
2025-03-09 0.751860 3.060497 9.632893 26.994205 67.221528 148.994919 316.638857